2002-03 NCAA Division I Men's Basketball Z-Ratings

Ratings include all games through 16 March 2003. 4618 game results were used.

Conference ratings

I have posted a bracket based on this set of ratings, as well as the methology by which I came to the conclusions I did.

RkTeamConf.Z-RatingBSWPW-LPctRatioSOSRk
1Kentucky SE8586.7.964629-3.906 9.667888.282
2Arizona PT5335.1.946625-3.893 8.333640.2112
3Pittsburgh BE3573.3.926426-4.867 6.500549.7529
4Wake Forest AC2985.0.915524-5.828 4.800621.8814
5Syracuse BE2897.4.913624-5.828 4.800603.6317
6Oklahoma BT2800.8.911424-6.800 4.000700.217
7Texas BT2767.8.910622-6.786 3.667754.853
8Duke AC2607.3.906624-6.800 4.000651.8311
9Florida SE2528.5.904524-7.774 3.429737.475
10Marquette US2523.7.904423-5.821 4.600548.6331
11Louisville US2475.9.903124-6.800 4.000618.9815
12Kansas BT2468.7.902923-7.767 3.286751.354
13Georgia SE2327.2.898619-8.704 2.375979.891
14Illinois TN2261.3.896524-6.800 4.000565.3325
15Xavier AT1955.3.885525-5.833 5.000391.0655
16Dayton AT1941.0.884924-5.828 4.800404.3751
17Creighton MV1688.1.873429-4.879 7.250232.8588
18Notre Dame BE1660.4.872022-9.710 2.444679.248
19Wisconsin TN1647.2.871322-7.759 3.143524.1034
20Stanford PT1607.1.869223-8.742 2.875558.9927
21Memphis US1566.3.867023-6.793 3.833408.5950
22Mississippi State SE1549.6.866021-9.700 2.333664.109
23Missouri BT1482.7.862121-10.677 2.100706.056
24Oklahoma State BT1329.5.852120-9.690 2.222598.2819
25California PT1281.6.848621-8.724 2.625488.2140
26Maryland AC1207.5.842819-9.679 2.111571.9824
27Utah MW1190.6.841423-7.767 3.286362.3665
28Louisiana State SE1113.6.834821-10.677 2.100530.3133
29Oregon PT1108.0.834223-9.719 2.556433.5847
30St. Joseph's AT1059.9.829723-6.793 3.833276.4981
31Connecticut BE1054.9.829221-9.700 2.333452.1242
32Brigham Young MW1047.5.828523-8.742 2.875364.3664
33Purdue TN1034.1.827218-10.643 1.800574.5223
34Indiana TN1000.7.823720-12.625 1.667600.4018
35Michigan State TN977.53.821219-12.613 1.583617.3916
36Alabama SE977.30.821217-11.607 1.545632.3713
37Arizona State PT966.04.820018-11.621 1.636590.3620
38Butler HL953.16.818624-5.828 4.800198.5798
39Tennessee SE906.23.813117-11.607 1.545586.3821
40Colorado BT889.93.811120-11.645 1.818489.4639
41Auburn SE872.26.808919-11.633 1.727504.9938
42Southern Illinois MV841.72.804924-6.800 4.000210.4396
43Texas Tech BT840.31.804718-12.600 1.500560.2126
44North Carolina State AC824.29.802618-12.600 1.500549.5330
45Gonzaga WC811.08.800723-8.742 2.875282.1278
46Cincinnati US784.24.796917-11.607 1.545507.4537
47Weber State SK748.60.791525-4.862 6.250119.78146
48UNLV MW744.31.790921-10.677 2.100354.4368
49North Carolina AC739.05.790017-15.531 1.133652.1010
50Ohio State TN704.63.784417-14.548 1.214580.2922
51Seton Hall BE681.65.780517-12.586 1.417481.1741
52Wisconsin - Milwaukee HL649.67.774723-7.767 3.286197.73100
53Boston College BE604.77.765918-11.621 1.636369.5861
54Central Michigan MA588.29.762423-6.793 3.833153.47120
55Michigan TN583.77.761517-13.567 1.308446.4245
56Minnesota TN562.18.756716-12.571 1.333421.6448
57Saint Louis US551.95.754416-13.552 1.231448.4644
58Georgia Tech AC545.79.752914-14.500 1.000545.7932
59DePaul US539.16.751416-12.571 1.333404.3752
60Wyoming MW531.35.749519-10.655 1.900279.6680
61Pennsylvania IL502.07.742122-5.815 4.400114.11150
62Virginia AC485.24.737714-15.483 0.933519.9035
63Tulsa WA462.38.731322-9.710 2.444189.15103
64Providence BE456.39.729516-13.552 1.231370.8159
65Iowa State BT441.93.725215-13.536 1.154383.0156
66St. John's BE435.74.723316-13.552 1.231354.0469
67Clemson AC424.50.719815-13.536 1.154367.9062
68Iowa TN423.78.719515-13.536 1.154367.2763
69Florida State AC420.66.718514-15.483 0.933450.7143
70Alabama - Birmingham US420.61.718518-12.600 1.500280.4179
71Illinois - Chicago HL418.11.717721-8.724 2.625159.28117
72Fresno State WA414.02.716320-8.714 2.500165.61112
73Colorado State MW393.81.709517-13.567 1.308301.1575
74South Carolina SE386.57.706912-16.429 0.750515.4336
75Villanova BE381.61.705115-15.500 1.000381.6157
76Western Kentucky SB378.63.704022-8.733 2.750137.68132
77Manhattan MT378.01.703823-6.793 3.83398.612162
78Texas A&M BT377.48.703614-14.500 1.000377.4858
79Mississippi SE365.36.699014-15.483 0.933391.4554
80Georgetown BE360.77.697215-14.517 1.071336.7271
81Temple AT357.27.695815-15.500 1.000357.2766
82Troy State AS350.67.693225-5.833 5.00070.135205
83UNC Wilmington CA346.52.691524-6.800 4.00086.629182
84Vanderbilt SE338.14.688011-18.379 0.611553.3328
85Kent State MA336.32.687320-9.690 2.222151.35121
86Austin Peay OV329.06.684120-7.741 2.857115.17148
87Rhode Island AT321.77.680918-11.621 1.636196.64101
88Holy Cross PL321.01.680625-4.862 6.25051.362226
89San Diego WC306.45.673917-11.607 1.545198.2999
90West Virginia BE303.36.672414-15.483 0.933325.0372
91Southern California PT301.75.671613-17.433 0.765394.6053
92Charlotte US300.59.671013-16.448 0.813369.9560
93College of Charleston SO299.87.670722-7.759 3.14395.414168
94Louisiana - Lafayette SB297.48.669519-9.679 2.111140.91129
95Baylor BT296.19.668914-14.500 1.000296.1976
96Rice WA295.96.668817-10.630 1.700174.09107
97San Diego State MW290.61.666114-13.519 1.077269.8582
98Hawaii WA280.54.660918-11.621 1.636171.44109
99Kansas State BT260.38.649813-17.433 0.765340.5070
100Western Michigan MA258.62.648819-11.633 1.727149.73124
101Utah State BW258.18.648622-8.733 2.75093.882172
102Nevada WA249.58.643517-13.567 1.308190.86102
103Richmond AT244.39.640315-13.536 1.154211.8095
104Valparaiso MC242.11.638920-10.667 2.000121.05143
105South Florida US239.96.637614-15.483 0.933257.1085
106Rutgers BE239.38.637212-16.429 0.750319.1773
107New Mexico State SB231.53.632219-9.679 2.111109.67153
108Southern Methodist WA225.19.627917-13.567 1.308172.20108
109UCLA PT221.88.625710-19.345 0.526421.5749
110Nebraska BT217.29.622511-18.379 0.611355.5667
111Tulane US212.24.618915-15.500 1.000212.2494
112Oregon State PT211.42.618312-15.444 0.800264.2783
113Wichita State MV210.23.617418-11.621 1.636128.47136
114Arkansas SE210.03.61739-19.321 0.474443.3946
115California - Irvine BW206.34.614519-9.679 2.11197.739165
116St. Bonaventure AT204.52.613213-14.481 0.929220.2690
117Northwestern TN203.65.612512-17.414 0.706288.5077
118Southwest Missouri State MV203.17.612217-12.586 1.417143.42127
119Southern Mississippi US200.89.610414-15.483 0.933215.2492
120Mercer AS200.21.609922-6.786 3.66754.602225
121Detroit HL195.31.606117-12.586 1.417137.87131
122Northern Illinois MA189.41.601317-14.548 1.214155.98118
123Chattanooga SO186.59.599019-9.679 2.11188.384179
124San Francisco WC181.71.594814-13.519 1.077168.73110
125Washington PT181.53.594710-17.370 0.588308.6074
126Morehead State OV179.21.592717-9.654 1.88994.874171
127Pepperdine WC173.65.587815-13.536 1.154150.50122
128Eastern Washington SK171.52.585817-12.586 1.417121.07142
129East Carolina US163.32.578110-15.400 0.667244.9787
130Miami - Florida BE161.73.576611-17.393 0.647249.9586
131Fairfield MT161.72.576619-11.633 1.72793.627173
132East Tennessee State SO158.03.572917-10.630 1.70092.957174
133Tennessee Tech OV156.09.571017-12.586 1.417110.18151
134Siena MT153.63.568519-10.655 1.90080.860190
135Miami - Ohio MA146.81.561312-15.444 0.800183.51105
136Murray State OV143.43.557615-12.556 1.250114.74149
137Ohio University MA143.11.557214-16.467 0.875163.55115
138California - Santa BarbaraBW141.98.556018-13.581 1.385102.54158
139St. Mary's - California WC139.97.553714-15.483 0.933149.97123
140Ball State MA138.83.552413-17.433 0.765181.54106
141Arkansas - Little Rock SB138.45.552016-12.571 1.333103.84156
142Davidson SO133.06.545714-10.583 1.40095.046170
143Sam Houston State SL132.39.544921-6.778 3.50037.827251
144Virginia Tech BE132.27.544711-18.379 0.611216.4491
145Appalachian State SO130.23.542216-10.615 1.60081.394189
146Drexel CA127.37.538718-11.621 1.63677.838194
147Toledo MA125.79.536713-16.448 0.813154.81119
148Air Force MW124.69.535312-16.429 0.750166.26111
149Evansville MV123.79.534112-16.429 0.750165.05113
150Virginia Commonwealth CA123.35.533618-10.643 1.80068.526208
151Middle Tennessee State SB121.86.531614-14.500 1.000121.86141
152Loyola - Chicago HL120.29.529615-16.484 0.938128.31137
153Boston University AE117.80.526220-10.667 2.00058.902218
154Central Florida AS115.60.523220-11.645 1.81863.579212
155Niagara MT112.84.519317-12.586 1.41779.649191
156Bowling Green MA112.50.518911-16.407 0.688163.64114
157Denver SB111.09.516817-15.531 1.13398.017164
158George Mason CA110.48.516016-12.571 1.33382.861186
159IUPU Indianapolis MC109.06.513919-13.594 1.46274.618196
160Louisiana Tech WA108.36.512910-15.400 0.667162.55116
161New Mexico MW107.38.51149-18.333 0.500214.7593
162South Alabama SB104.55.507112-14.462 0.857121.98140
163Marshall MA103.18.505013-15.464 0.867119.05147
164La Salle AT101.24.502012-17.414 0.706143.43126
165Brown IL99.561.499317-11.607 1.54564.422211
166Princeton IL97.401.495815-11.577 1.36471.428204
167Iona MT95.859.493217-12.586 1.41767.665209
168Akron MA94.858.491513-14.481 0.929102.15159
169Boise State WA94.397.490812-16.429 0.750125.86138
170George Washington AT94.257.490512-17.414 0.706133.53133
171Cal Poly - San Luis ObispoBW94.242.490515-14.517 1.07187.959181
172Belmont AS91.763.486216-12.571 1.33368.822207
173Texas Christian US89.512.48239-19.321 0.474188.97104
174Santa Clara WC88.059.479612-15.444 0.800110.07152
175Penn State TN86.978.47777-21.250 0.333260.9384
176Eastern Illinois OV85.108.474213-15.464 0.86798.202163
177Oral Roberts MC83.637.471417-10.630 1.70049.198233
178Eastern Michigan MA82.985.470212-14.462 0.85796.816166
179New Orleans SB82.243.468713-14.481 0.92988.569177
180Stephen F. Austin State SL81.103.466519-8.704 2.37534.149264
181Houston US80.818.46598-20.286 0.400202.0497
182Vermont AE80.368.465119-10.655 1.90042.299241
183Wagner NE79.974.464321-9.700 2.33334.275262
184Washington State PT78.712.46177-20.259 0.350224.8989
185Massachusetts AT77.695.459710-18.357 0.556139.85130
186Delaware CA76.579.457415-14.517 1.07171.473203
187Portland WC76.499.457210-17.370 0.588130.05135
188Bradley MV76.116.456411-18.379 0.611124.55139
189Idaho State SK73.368.450613-14.481 0.92979.012192
190Yale IL72.440.448513-13.500 1.00072.440201
191Jacksonville State AS71.948.447518-10.643 1.80039.971246
192Montana SK71.896.447312-16.429 0.75095.861167
193Loyola Marymount WC69.489.441911-19.367 0.579120.03145
194Northern Arizona SK69.430.441813-13.500 1.00069.430206
195Oakland MC68.753.440315-11.577 1.36450.419229
196Pacific BW66.324.434612-16.429 0.75088.432178
197Northern Iowa MV64.060.429110-17.370 0.588108.90154
198Cal State - Northridge BW63.327.427313-15.464 0.86773.070199
199Arkansas State SB61.373.422411-15.423 0.73383.690185
200Winthrop BS60.907.421218-10.643 1.80033.837265
201Georgia Southern SO59.385.417213-13.500 1.00059.385217
202Marist MT59.078.416413-16.448 0.81372.712200
203Idaho BW58.957.416112-15.444 0.80073.697197
204Wofford SO58.717.415410-15.400 0.66788.075180
205Birmingham-Southern IN56.321.408917-9.654 1.88929.817276
206Tennessee - Martin OV56.167.408510-14.417 0.71478.634193
207Wright State HL53.474.40099-18.333 0.500106.95155
208Old Dominion CA49.828.390012-15.444 0.80062.285213
209Illinois State MV49.788.38998-21.276 0.381130.69134
210Montana State SK47.935.38419-16.360 0.56385.218184
211Samford AS47.914.384012-15.444 0.80059.893216
212Sacramento State SK47.443.382511-17.393 0.64773.322198
213Wisconsin - Green Bay HL46.931.38089-19.321 0.47499.076161
214American PL45.309.375516-14.533 1.14339.645247
215Rider MT43.132.368012-16.429 0.75057.509220
216Southwest Texas State SL42.754.366715-12.556 1.25034.203263
217Hartford AE41.426.361915-13.536 1.15435.903258
218Drake MV41.394.36188-20.286 0.400103.48157
219James Madison CA40.959.360212-17.414 0.70658.025219
220Duquesne AT40.772.35969-21.300 0.42995.135169
221Texas - Arlington SL40.174.357314-13.519 1.07737.304252
222Northeastern AE39.593.355214-15.483 0.93342.421240
223Binghamton AE39.285.354014-13.519 1.07736.479257
224Harvard IL37.534.347311-15.423 0.73351.183227
225UNC Asheville BS37.030.345313-16.448 0.81345.575236
226McNeese State SL36.060.341413-14.481 0.92938.834249
227Furman SO35.734.340011-17.393 0.64755.225223
228Georgia State AS35.566.339313-15.464 0.86741.038244
229Cal State - Fullerton BW35.453.338910-19.345 0.52667.361210
230Indiana State MV35.026.33717-24.226 0.292120.09144
231Monmouth NE34.831.336316-13.552 1.23128.300279
232North Texas SB34.446.33475-21.192 0.238144.67125
233Quinnipiac NE33.365.330016-12.571 1.33325.024289
234Cleveland State HL32.936.32828-22.267 0.36490.574176
235Prairie View A&M SW32.506.326317-12.586 1.41722.945293
236South Carolina State ME31.831.323220-10.667 2.00015.916307
237Jacksonville AS31.608.322212-16.429 0.75042.144243
238Charleston Southern BS31.352.321112-14.462 0.85736.577256
239Bucknell PL31.183.320314-15.483 0.93333.411267
240Canisius MT30.858.318810-18.357 0.55655.545222
241Maine AE30.688.318012-16.429 0.75040.918245
242Lehigh PL30.659.317914-12.538 1.16726.279286
243Central Connecticut State NE29.818.313915-13.536 1.15425.842287
244St. Peter's MT29.354.311710-19.345 0.52655.773221
245Southeast Missouri State OV28.919.30969-19.321 0.47461.051214
246William & Mary CA28.847.309312-16.429 0.75038.463250
247Liberty BS28.564.307914-15.483 0.93330.604273
248Hampton ME28.066.305419-11.633 1.72716.249306
249Texas A&M Corpus Christi IN27.334.301711-15.423 0.73337.274253
250Florida International SB27.277.30147-21.250 0.33381.832187
251Southern Utah MC26.544.29779-17.346 0.52950.138231
252Coastal Carolina BS25.423.291711-15.423 0.73334.668261
253Youngstown State HL25.029.28967-20.259 0.35071.511202
254Elon BS24.482.286610-15.400 0.66736.723255
255St. Francis - PA NE23.921.283414-14.500 1.00023.921291
256Lamar SL23.796.282712-14.462 0.85727.762281
257Colgate PL23.562.281412-14.462 0.85727.489283
258California - Riverside BW22.680.27635-18.217 0.27881.648188
259Centenary IN22.017.272410-14.417 0.71430.824272
260San Jose State WA22.009.27235-21.192 0.23892.436175
261Stony Brook AE21.994.272211-15.423 0.73329.992275
262Louisiana - Monroe SL21.675.270311-16.407 0.68831.528269
263Lafayette PL21.445.268911-16.407 0.68831.192271
264St. Francis - NY NE21.284.267914-16.467 0.87524.325290
265IUPU Fort Wayne IN21.070.26669-20.310 0.45046.822235
266VMI SO20.942.26588-19.296 0.42149.737232
267Texas Southern SW20.641.263918-12.600 1.50013.761315
268Missouri - Kansas City MC20.418.26259-20.310 0.45045.373237
269Fairleigh Dickinson NE19.616.257315-15.500 1.00019.616302
270Hofstra CA19.163.25438-21.276 0.38150.303230
271Portland State SK19.111.25404-21.160 0.190100.33160
272Southeast Louisiana SL18.853.25239-16.360 0.56333.516266
273Buffalo MA18.701.25125-23.179 0.21786.024183
274Texas - San Antonio SL18.360.24899-17.346 0.52934.679260
275Florida A&M ME18.304.248517-12.586 1.41712.921316
276Western Carolina SO18.214.24796-18.250 0.33354.643224
277Eastern Kentucky OV17.416.24237-17.292 0.41242.296242
278Mississippi Valley State SW16.850.238314-13.519 1.07715.647309
279Delaware State ME16.524.235914-12.538 1.16714.164314
280Radford BS15.661.229410-20.333 0.50031.322270
281Alabama State SW14.440.219813-15.464 0.86716.661305
282Long Beach State BW13.994.21614-22.154 0.18276.969195
283Mount St. Mary's NE13.916.215511-16.407 0.68820.241300
284UNC Greensboro SO13.794.21446-22.214 0.27350.580228
285Alcorn State SW13.782.214314-19.424 0.73718.703303
286Cornell IL12.788.20588-18.308 0.44428.773277
287Texas - El Paso WA12.578.20405-24.172 0.20860.373215
288Long Island NE12.575.20399-19.321 0.47426.547284
289Florida Atlantic AS12.454.20296-21.222 0.28643.590239
290Navy PL12.293.20147-19.269 0.36833.366268
291Fordham AT10.920.18862-26.071 0.077141.96128
292Robert Morris NE10.744.18699-17.346 0.52920.295298
293Dartmouth IL10.229.18177-19.269 0.36827.764280
294Coppin State ME10.124.180711-17.393 0.64715.646310
295High Point BS10.016.17967-20.259 0.35028.617278
296Jackson State SW9.6947.176310-18.357 0.55617.451304
297Howard ME9.6825.176113-17.433 0.76512.662317
298The Citadel SO9.6765.17614-20.167 0.20048.382234
299Western Illinois MC9.2824.17195-21.192 0.23838.986248
300Albany AE9.1869.17097-21.250 0.33327.561282
301Norfolk State ME8.6885.165414-15.483 0.9339.3091319
302Grambling SW8.6660.165110-18.357 0.55615.599311
303Stetson AS8.3005.16106-19.240 0.31626.285285
304Gardner-Webb AS7.5499.15224-24.143 0.16745.300238
305Sacred Heart NE7.2646.14877-22.241 0.31822.832294
306Northwestern State SL7.2319.14836-21.222 0.28625.312288
307Maryland - Baltimore Co. NE7.2287.14827-20.259 0.35020.653297
308New Hampshire AE6.5866.14015-23.179 0.21730.299274
309Loyola - Maryland MT5.8016.12944-24.143 0.16734.810259
310Texas - Pan American IN4.3653.10796-20.231 0.30014.551313
311Chicago State MC4.0939.10343-27.100 0.11136.845254
312Campbell AS3.8334.09904-22.154 0.18221.084296
313Towson CA3.7345.09724-24.143 0.16722.407295
314Lipscomb IN3.2642.08886-20.231 0.30010.881318
315Alabama A&M SW3.1377.08647-19.269 0.3688.5166321
316Army PL2.7652.07913-22.120 0.13620.278299
317Southern SW2.6629.07717-20.259 0.3507.6083322
318Arkansas - Pine Bluff SW2.4695.07314-24.143 0.16714.817312
319Bethune-Cookman ME2.2219.06778-22.267 0.3646.1102326
320Morgan State ME2.1903.06707-22.241 0.3186.8836325
321Columbia IL1.8511.05932-25.074 0.08023.139292
322Morris Brown IN1.6558.05456-20.231 0.3005.5193327
323Maryland - Eastern Shore ME1.5882.05285-23.179 0.2177.3057324
324Nicholls State SL1.5719.05242-25.074 0.08019.649301
325Savannah State IN1.1451.04103-24.111 0.1259.1611320
326Tennessee State OV.65848.02601-24.040 0.04215.803308
327North Carolina A&T ME.29423.01251-25.038 0.0407.3558323

Conference ratings

RkConferenceBSWPTmsTop Team
1Southeastern Conference (SE).812412Kentucky (1)
2Atlantic Coast Conference (AC).80609Wake Forest (4)
3Big XII Conference (BT).795412Oklahoma (6)
4Big Ten Conference (TN).767511Illinois (14)
5Big East Conference (BE).751014Pittsburgh (3)
6Pacific-10 Conference (PT).735610Arizona (2)
7Mountain West Conference (MW).70858Utah (27)
8Conference USA (US).705314Marquette (10)
9Atlantic 10 Conference (AT).606112Xavier (15)
10West Coast Conference (WC).57538Gonzaga (45)
11Western Athletic Conference (WA).554410Tulsa (63)
12Mid-American Conference (MA).551513Central Michigan (54)
13Missouri Valley Conference (MV).542810Creighton (17)
14Horizon League (HL).53949Butler (38)
15Sun Belt Conference (SB).513211Western Kentucky (76)
16Big Sky Conference (SK).46658Weber State (47)
17Big West Conference (BW).440210Utah State (101)
18Metro Atlantic Athletic Conference (MT).438910Manhattan (77)
19Ohio Valley Conference (OV).42789Austin Peay (86)
20Southern Conference (SO).414412College of Charleston (93)
21Colonial Athletic Association (CA).412410UNC Wilmington (83)
22Ivy League (IL).36978Pennsylvania (61)
23Atlantic Sun Conference (AS).363812Troy State (82)
24Mid-Continent Conference (MC).35958Valparaiso (104)
25America East Conference (AE).32509Boston University (153)
26Patriot League (PL).31168Holy Cross (88)
27Southland Conference (SL).296611Sam Houston State (143)
28Big South Conference (BS).29348Winthrop (200)
29Northeast Conference (NE).254812Wagner (183)
30Independent (IN).18608Birmingham-Southern (205)
31Southwestern Athletic Conference (SW).175110Prairie View A&M (235)
32Mid-Eastern Athletic Conference (ME).156311South Carolina State (236)

Page generated 2003-05-05 10:12:06-04:00
Z-Ratings Center